First, the joke:
“Zeyde! Zayde! Babe Ruth just hit his 6o home runs.”
“Nu? Is this good or bad for the Jews?
So, let’s take a look at where we are. Things are very nasty between the Democrats,
who control the White House, and the Republicans, who control the Congress. As
with any grievance, the decisive factor will be this: Who frames the narrative?
Each side has a tale to tell in Washington, D.C. Call it “A City of Two Tales.”
As usual, each grievant tells a tale in which he plays the role of victim in
the opening salvo.
Republicans claim that the President started it all when he
took unilateral actions regarding immigration. It’s hard to take this seriously,
but at the time, Boehner talked about “poisoning the well,” or “playing with
matches.”
They also claim that the President threw down a gauntlet at
the State of the Union address when he said that he would veto any bill that
would result in a break-down of negotiations with Iran, such as the conditional
sanctions bill in the Senate now. These Republicans didn’t pay attention to the
fact that the President also said that if negotiations break down, we will have
to go to war.
Some Democrats, including Jews join these Republicans,
because they are disappointed with the progress of negotiations with Iran. Some
find the demands of Israel to be unrealistic. Iran will not dismantle anything
that can be used for a nuclear weapon program, especially since, as signatories
to the Nuclear Non-proliferation Treaty, Iran has a right to develop a civilian
nuclear program.
In the Democratic narrative, the story starts with Boehner’s
invitation to Bibi and the attendant breach of protocol. Not to mention law: The
Logan Act (1 Stat. 613, 30 January 1799, currently codified
at 18 U.S.C. § 953) is a United States federal law that forbids unauthorized
citizens from negotiating with foreign governments. It was passed in 1799 and
last amended in 1994. Violation of the Logan Act is a felony, punishable under
federal law with imprisonment of up to three years. Some say that Boehner does
not have the authority to invite any foreign leader to Congress and that only the
POTUS or his designated official can.
The Democratic view is that Mr. Obama is the duly elected mouth-piece
for foreign policy, especially if the message is one everybody absolutely
agrees upon. Everybody absolutely agrees on this message: The alliance between
the United States and Israel is ironclad, inviolable, and sacrosanct. Everyone also
agrees that Iran absolutely cannot be permitted to become a nuclear military power.
We should be saying these things with a united voice. Choose
your patter: “We are not a red country or a blue country,” or “Politics stops
at the water’s edge.” Some Republicans are attracted to this message just out
of respect for the office of President. Some Democrats, inclined to take Bibi’s
side, are pulled back onto the reservation just out of loyalty to the occupant
of the office of the President. So battle lines in this dispute are not completely
congruent with party lines.
Nu? Is this good or bad for the Jews?
Funny you should ask. As it turns out, some Jews are
Republicans, and they think the President can’t be trusted with negotiating an existential
threat. They can say, with some validity, that they are standing with the duly
elected PM of Israel, so who can complain?
President Obama's supporters say, we are willing to
threaten war against Iran if they don’t figure out a way to live without a nuclear
bomb, but we draw the line at Bibi interjecting himself in partisan domestic politics. And further, international norms of behavior look upon interfering with another country's election. Inded, Obama used this as justification for announcing that he would not meet with Bibi when he was in Washington.
Should Bibi be taking a side in the debate that we are having in the U.S.
between two political parties on the issue of how to conduct foreign policy?
Bibi says, “It’s my job. I will go anywhere, anytime I feel
I can influence the debate in favor of not making a deal with Iran, unless it
is an acceptable deal to Israel. After all, the bomb is intended for us!” I’ll
give him that. But he doesn’t have to give the President a gratuitous dose of
disrespect. Message to Bibi: Put your personal animosity for our President
aside. There are some things that are more important than you getting
re-elected. And, by the way, being rude to the POTUS might not help your
chances of getting re-elected anyway. Right now, you're no better than a
coin-toss.
The real debate should be about what will be most effective in
preventing Iran from getting nukes. The
President is entrusted with foreign policy, and, so far so good. Are we okay
with Syria not having chemical weapons? Thank you, Mr. President. But,
remember: that outcome required cooperation from Iran.
Basically, the way I see it is we need an adult to negotiate
with Iran, and the Congressional foreign policy caucus is not that adult. They
have proved this with the impudent, childish way Bibi’s visit came
about.
The difference in the approach is that one side wants to
negotiate until failure is clearly the fault of the Iranians, and then go to
war. Good faith requires that the negotiation be conducted with the belief that
it is possible and reasonable to come to a peaceful solution. But realism
requires that you acknowledge that “the biggest long-shot Louie at Hialeah
wouldn’t put a fin on the fate” of a nuke deal with Iran.
I heard an AIPAC guy say that “Obama believes that he should
appeal to the Iranian’s better nature.” That’s not what Obama believes at all. If
war comes, America will want the right to say, “We tried diplomacy.” That’s
important, because we will need allies if we go to war with Iran, and, they
will need to hear that. And, there’s no way a war plan can get the requisite
support from the American people, if they
don’t hear that every alternative was exhausted first.
Team Boeher, as well as Bibi, say, “enough already with the
diplomacy,already” and “It’s time for the U.S, to be strong.” They should recall that for America
to flex military muscles she must have the support of a war-weary public, and
this is so much harder to do because the previous President was a little too
promiscuous with his use of force. The result is great instability in the
mid-East, and that can’t be good for the Jews.
Even if the U.S. did resolve to torpedo the negotiations and use force, consider for a
moment some of the problems that would involve. You’ve got the rise of ISIL, which directly challenges the Jordanian regime, the Syrian civil war, Hezbollah in Lebanon, instability is Afghanistan, regime
change in Saudi Arabia and Yemen, and Hamas in the Gaza. It’s hard to see how
military action could be confined to stopping Iranian centrifuges.
Maybe Republicans
are right to believe that war is inevitable and to say, “If not now, when? When
will Iran be more vulnerable?” I trust the President to arrive at good answers
to these questions, and I don’t trust the Congress, especially in the run-up to
the 2016 silly season.
Two out of three Jews voted for the President, most of
them twice. Jews are a core constituency of his party. Significantly, the
pro-Israel Evangelicals are a core constituency of the Republican Party. The
two constituencies are at odds with each other in this matter, even though each
sees itself as staunchly pro-Israel.I blame Boehner and Bibi for aggravating the rift and, no, it's not good for the Jews.
AIPAC and Likud side with the CUFI Republicans. J Street and
most Jews, especially liberal ones, side with the President and the
constitution. In a rather unpleasant moment, left-leaning MS-NBC host Ed Shultz
called Netanyahu a “war-monger,” a term that is usually reserved for American neo-cons.
It made me decidedly uncomfortable and I wondered if what I was feeling was a
visceral reflex to come to the defense of a fellow Jew being attacked by a
gentile. Now, to be sure, Ed Shultz is no anti-Semite. But was he aware of how the choice of
words sounded like age-old anti-Semitism? (And how did the Rothschilds make
their money?)
But then I reminded myself that Netanyahu is not the State
of Israel. In fact, he might not even be the PM of Israel in 6 weeks. Still,
whoever is responsible for lefties publicly rebuking the PM has not served
Israel well. Some of the blame goes to Bibi himself, but Boehner is clearly
responsible. It is understandable that when the Speaker of the House, and Bibi
conspire to disrespect the President, someone might just conclude that, to
borrow a phrase, there will be a price to be paid. Already, we have seen very sharp criticism from the White House directed at the Israeli ambassador, accusing him of putting Bibi's interests ahead of Israel's.
Boehner wanted to appeal to his base, especially the growing
number of pro-Israel evangelicals, who share Boehner’s view on social issues
like gay marriage and abortion. Christians United For Israel (CUFI) is an organization emblematic of this constituency. Boehner figured that he could dis the prez, boost
his pro-Israel bona fides, and side with Israel in a spat between Israel and
the United States. What could go wrong?
What went wrong is that Jews and most Americans don’t want
to see our President dissed, don’t appreciate Boehner playing nuclear roulette to
help Republicans polish their anti-Obama cred, and don’t particularly like to
see a spat between Israel and the U.S. especially one that is aired in public.
So, nu? Is that good or bad for the Jews?
It’s not good. But it’s what will happen inevitably if you
put CUFI ahead of Jews. Eventually, their hatred of the President will trump
their love of Israel. Their love of Israel exceeds their love of Jews, and that's why I can't trust it. And that’s
why I condemn Boehner and Bibi. They put the first crack in the non-partisan
wall of American support for Israel, by playing politics with the special relationship. And it didn’t work.
The timing is right for Obama to make a bold move in the Middle
East if he wants this to be part of his legacy. Actually, he has no choice in
the matter: He must make a bold move. The situation in the mid-East demands it.
He knows that an atavistic, Iranian apocalyptic theocracy with hegemony over so
much of the world’s oil reserves, extraterrestial ambitions, and a nuclear bomb just won’t fly.
But what else
can be rolled into the deal? Obviously, the Iranians want relief from
sanctions, but what else? U.S. to step up against ISIS? Assad to be gone in
Syria? Progress in Israel-Palestinian conflict?
What even constitutes progress?
The U.S. and Israel are both
officially committed to a two-state solution, but how committed are they? And
can Obama ever really believe that he can get from here to there in two years
or should he simply accept that it is hopeless. Ought he to be guided by the
words of Pirke Avot: “Yours is not to finish the work, but neither are you free
to walk away from it.” For now, I am gratified by the fact that he is not pressuring the Israelis to make a bad deal with Palestinians.
At present, the important thing to do is to repair the
Israeli-American relationship. That has to start with Bibi figuring out a way
to back out of his date with Congress. He may also have to recall Ambassador Ron
Dermer, who is credited with having the horrible idea of having Bibi go over
the head of the President to speak to Congress.
If not, I fear that the U.S. will declare Dermer persona non
grata. Would this be good or bad for the Jews? It might seem good to you
especially if you are the kind who believes that Republicans are better for the
State of Israel than Democrats, and that Republicans can frame this as the
President snubbing our most important ally. Further, you must believe that
expelling the ambassador will bolster Bibi’s election prospects, and that Bibi
is good for Israel. I am doubtful of each of these propositions. On this last point -- is Bibi good for Israel? -- a majority of Israelis seem to think not, but we will know for sure on St. Patrick’s day, when Israeli
elections are scheduled.
What seems incontrovertible is that the relationship between
Israel and the U.S., and especially between Bibi and Obama, is at a low point.
I condemn Boehner for aggravating the situation, especially since it was not
merely a miscalculation. It was a conscious decision to insult the President.
The
most generous thing I can say about Bibi is that he was sucked into this,
though obviously, he was not dragged kicking and screaming. If AIPAC takes up
with Boehner and Bibi, they are siding with the ones who thought that it was
okay to play politics with the special relationship. It's not even nearly okay.
And they owe us an apology.
“… and tell ’em Big Mitch sent ya!”